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Title: Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis by Robert J. Lempert, Steven W. Popper, Steven C. Bankes ISBN: 0-8330-3275-5 Publisher: Rand Corporation Pub. Date: 01 August, 2003 Format: Paperback Volumes: 1 List Price(USD): $30.00

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Average Customer Rating: 5 (2 reviews)

Rating: 5
Summary: The Next 100 years of Strategic Thinking
Comment: "Shaping the Next One Hundred Years" by Lempert, Popper and Bankes is as an exciting new book on strategic thinking and is comparable in importance to Michael Porter's "Competitive Strategy ". The book describes a methodology that mirrors how successful business leaders think while using novel software to expand and codify the decision making process. Lempert et al accomplish this by using exploratory modeling to evaluate the myriad possible futures a decision maker faces and then comparing different strategies against the desired metrics. The results are new insights and a strategy that works regardless of unpredictable events the future. The methodology is revolutionary and will become the preeminent way important decisions are made.

Rating: 5
Summary: An excellent guide for forward-thinkers and strategists
Comment: The collaboration of Robert J. Lempert, Steven W. Popper and Steven C. Bankes, Shaping The Next One Hundred Years: New Methods For Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis offers complex mathematical analysis techniques for making long-term policy predictions. Sample models, ways to analyze sustainable development, robust and adaptive strategies, and more fill the pages of this technical guide focusing upon quantitative approaches to long-term policy analysis. An excellent guide for forward-thinkers and strategists in business who must take into account such diverse considerations as environmental protection, political terrorism, genetic technologies, international trade developments, and more, Shaping The Next One Hundred Years is very strongly recommended reading.

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