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Title: An Introduction to Probability and Inductive Logic by Ian Hacking ISBN: 0-521-77501-9 Publisher: Cambridge University Press Pub. Date: 02 July, 2001 Format: Paperback Volumes: 1 List Price(USD): $25.00 |
Average Customer Rating: 4.5 (2 reviews)
Rating: 5
Summary: For anyone, any thinker
Comment: I would HIGHLY recommend this book for anyone (including business men) who must make decisions with incomplete information and under uncertainty. Instead of focusing on the mechanics of statistics, it focuses on how to think about risky propositions.
I bought this book while working on a particular problem in machine learning, at a point where I had started realizing that I was losing clarity on my definition of probability. I was using the mechanics, but didn't clearly understand why the use was valid. This seemed an odd and embarrassing circumstance at the time, how could I not understand what "probability" means? As it turns out this confusion is one shared broadly in history of science, and in current applications of statistical mechanics.
Prof Hacking's writing is clear and entertaining, clearly aimed at engaging the reading audience.
Rating: 4
Summary: What do you mean, "probably"?
Comment: The best thing about this book is that it teachs basic probability theory while keeping the reader constantly aware of the on-going debate regarding what it means to talk in terms of probabilities, and of how that debate has shaped the development of probability theory. If you are a student taking a course in probability and statistics who would like to genuinely understand the conceptual basis of all those formulas they are teaching you, I suggest you read this book.
Some readers will be disappointed by this book. Since the book concentrates on the conceptual basis of probability and inductive logic, it does not give the reader enough technical tools to really do much applied mathematics. On the other hand, by the time Hacking gets around to discussing what students of philosophy will likely view as the big philosophical pay-off of probability theory (i.e. Bayesian and frequentist contributions to the problem of justifying induction) he devotes to them a mere 20 pages of not terribly deep discussion.
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Title: The Emergence of Probability: A Philosophical Study of Early Ideas About robability, Induction and Statistical Inference by Ian Hacking ISBN: 0521318033 Publisher: Cambridge University Press Pub. Date: 21 June, 1984 List Price(USD): $33.00 |
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Title: The Lady Tasting Tea: How Statistics Revolutionized Science in the Twentieth Century by David Salsburg ISBN: 0805071342 Publisher: Owl Books Pub. Date: 01 May, 2002 List Price(USD): $16.00 |
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Title: Algebra of Probable Inference by Richard T. Cox ISBN: 080186982X Publisher: Johns Hopkins Univ Pr Pub. Date: February, 2002 List Price(USD): $19.95 |
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Title: The Taming of Chance by Ian Hacking, Quentin Skinner, Lorraine Daston, Dorothy Ross, James Tully ISBN: 0521388848 Publisher: Cambridge University Press Pub. Date: 31 August, 1990 List Price(USD): $23.00 |
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Title: Statistics on the Table : The History of Statistical Concepts and Methods by Stephen M. Stigler ISBN: 0674009797 Publisher: Harvard Univ Pr Pub. Date: 30 September, 2002 List Price(USD): $19.95 |
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