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At the Crest of the Tidal Wave : A Forecast for the Great Bear Market

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Title: At the Crest of the Tidal Wave : A Forecast for the Great Bear Market
by Robert R. Prechter
ISBN: 0-471-97954-6
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Pub. Date: December, 1997
Format: Paperback
Volumes: 1
List Price(USD): $45.00
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Average Customer Rating: 3.8 (10 reviews)

Customer Reviews

Rating: 5
Summary: A must-have roadmap for the years to come.
Comment: Welcome to Dow 10,000. So, what's next? Skies the limit, right? Do you know what it means when everyone you know is in the stock market? Have you ever wondered why only the big name stocks have been soaring like rockets for years, while those of most small and medium size companies have languished? Would it surprise you to know that the 15 year rise in bonds has not been a bull market at all, but a BEAR MARKET RALLY? How far must the price of gold fall before it finally reaches "rock bottom"? And finally, what do you think your home will be worth ten years from now? Read this book and you will have an excellent guide to all these questions. Robert Prechter has seen it all. He entered the financial world in the early 1970's, just in time to witness the last true bear market in U.S. stocks. He forecasted the 1982 breakout of the Dow Jones Industrials four years before it occurred. His prediction was widely considered impossible and out of touch with the realities of late 1970's. And importantly, he then predicted that it would blossom into the full blown mania we are seeing today. As the world's foremost practitioner of the Elliott Wave Principle, Mr. Prechter has the long range view required to see just where we are in the "big picture". And although we've been patiently waiting since this book was written (1995), all the pieces are slowly, but surely, falling into place. I've read nearly fifty books on financial markets, many of them considered classics, and I can honestly say that this is one of only two books you'll ever need to own on the subject. The other is "Elliott Wave Principle", by Frost & Prechter.

Rating: 2
Summary: Prechter's second chance at playing Cassandra
Comment: Prechter wrote a brilliant book about 1980 on Elliot Waves and then proceded to bask in the light of gurudom... That is until 1987, when his theories totally missed the October crash and a lot of his followers got their collective wallets smeared. As if to compensate for the missed crash, for the last decade Prechter has become obsessed with predicting the immanent crash of all civilization. Yes, The Bubble of the current market is going to burst. But Prechter keeps missing his prediction dates, and I believe he's also missing the extent. (At least I hope!) But still an enjoyable book if you don't take it *TOO* seriously.

Rating: 5
Summary: Don't Wait for the Noise
Comment: There was a movie which showed an approaching tidal wave. There was no noise because the wave was travelling faster than the speed of sound. This is the case of the oncoming financial tidal wave of disaster. One can hear the bullish rantings of a stream of advisors, nudging us into a sleeping wonderment of good things to come. The tidal wave is on its way. Prechter has pointed out the various items unfolding before our eyes. He was early in many of the prognostications, but they are surely falling into place. If you read the book, you will surely see how they are unfolding. Your financial health is at stake. The tech wreck was only the beginning. Read on, there is still time, but the book will be out of date in a couple of years.

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